If a 2 or 3 is rolled out, you win your bet, and tie if the shooter rolls a 12. Your point number becomes any number that is rolled. However, the shooter needs to have rolled a 7 before the point can be established. Craps Strategy: How to Play the Worst Bets Successfully. Bets with a higher house advantage are always considered the worst. Craps Tips When playing craps at casinos, get comfortable with the pass, come, and free odds wagers. The only good wagers are the pass, don't pass, come, don't come, free odds, and placing the 6 and 8 wagers. In the beginning, stay with the pass line and a come wager or two (with odds). If you only understand one bet in craps, it should be this one. The Pass bet is put on the the pass line itself on a come out roll. You can tell it is a come out roll if there is a black laminated marker on the table that says 'off.' If the come out roll is a 7 or 11, then you win even money. If the come out roll is a 2, 3, or 12, then you lose.
With only a little searching on the internet, you'll find pages that claim to have 'solved' craps.
Keep It Simple – It's easy for craps players to get overwhelmed by all the available betting options, and some of these wagers offer odds that are grossly skewed in favor of the house. If you want to win at craps, you may benefit from ignoring the majority of the wagers and sticking to the pass/don't pass bets and come/don't come options.
You'll also find sites promising to teach you how to win 'consistently' at craps.
They claim that you can make profits on a regular basis by shooting dice and betting on other shooters.
This isn't one of those pages.
That's because I'm not a liar.
Here's the truth about how to win at real money craps almost every time you play.
Winning Craps Systems
I can tell you where to find the winning craps systems. They're right next to the unicorns in the zoo and the mermaids in the aquarium.
How do craps systems work?
They use a combination of bets that are meant to hedge against losses. They also usually involve raising and lowering the size of your bets based on what's happened on previous rolls and previous bets.
Often, they try to capitalize on hot and cold streaks. My fortune casino.
Here's the problem:
Some of those negative numbers are bigger than others, but they're all negative.
And if you double or triple those bets because of something that happened on a previous bet, you still have a negative number.
And yes, you will see winning and losing streaks at the craps table.
The problem is that you have no way to predict when these winning and losing streaks will begin or end. They're only available in hindsight.
The nature of gambling games – craps especially – is to be streaky.
But a streak can win or end at any time.
Here Are 10 Easy Steps to Beat Craps – Yeah, Right
I don't have a problem with writers offering tips for how to beat craps. Heck, I offer tips for craps players in some of my posts, too. My problem is the overselling of these tips.
But heck, even that's not too bad.
What's really bad are people who take your money in exchange for some kind of unbeatable craps system. These craps systems are NOT unbeatable. In fact, in the long run, they can't win.
You can't defeat the math at the craps table by combining various bets at the table. There are NO craps bets with a positive expectation. The closest you can get is a bet called the odds bet which has no house edge at all.
But just because that bet is a break-even bet doesn't mean it can help you get an edge at the other bets. In fact, you're not able to place an odds bet unless you've placed a pass bet first, which has a house edge.
But there's one possible exception to this…
Taking the Odds Bet on Someone Else's Bet
I read a book by Frank Scoblete where he suggested becoming the 'odds man.' I haven't tried this in a casino, so I don't know if it's a viable strategy or not. I do know that it won't get you an edge over the casino.
Here's how it works: Adobe file transfer service.
You find a craps player who's betting the pass line or the don't pass line – but who isn't taking or placing odds.
You ask that player if you can make odds bets on his bets.
If the casino allows this, and if the other player allows this, you can place or take odds without having to make the negative expectation bet that precedes the odds bet.
But this still doesn't give you an edge.
The odds bet is, in the long run, a break-even proposition.
There's a big difference between breaking even and making a profit. Sure, in the short run, you might see a quick profit, but over enough time, this strategy is just a break-even strategy. https://icsearcisip1979.wixsite.com/partnerssoftware/post/how-to-create-3d-art.
A break-even strategy is far better than a losing strategy. I suppose if you take advantage of some comp drinks, it might even be considered marginally profitable.
Why Does the House Have a Mathematical Edge in Craps?
The mathematical edge in craps resembles the mathematical edge for every other casino game. It's just a function of offering bets that pay off at less than the odds of winning.
The easiest example to understand is the even money bet.
Most people realize that if you place an even money bet and have a 50% probability of winning that bet, you'll break even in the long run. By definition, a 50% probability of winning means you'll win as often as you lose.
And since even money means you're betting the same amount you'll win, you'll eventually see results close to a net loss or win of $0, regardless of the size of your bets.
But you don't have a 50% probability of winning the even money bets in craps. The probability of winning an even money bet in craps is always slightly less than 50%.
In this case, the probability of winning the pass line bet is 49.3%, which is close to 50%, but it still gives the casino an edge. The casino will win this bet 50.7% of the time.
In the long run, you can't win with those odds.
And that's arguable the best bet at the table. (The probability of winning the don't pass bet is higher by 5/100 of a percent, but that's such a small number that it's not especially interesting.
What if I Hedge My Bets?
Hedging your bets doesn't work. The idea is that you bet on one outcome, but you also place a bet on another outcome that will compensate for when your initial bet loses.
This sounds good in theory, but it doesn't work in the long run for one simple reason:
Your original bet AND your hedge both have a house edge.
In other words, you're just adding one negative expectation bet with another hoping to get a positive expectation.
But that's not how negative numbers work.
Add any set of negative numbers together, and you'll get a negative sum.
Okay, But What if You Could Control the Outcome of the Die Rolls?
The biggest potential I see for beating craps is learning how to exert some control over the outcome of the die rolls. The idea is that by holding the dice in a specific position ('setting the dice'), and then by throwing the dice without a lot of force ('a controlled throw'), you can reduce the probability of losing by enough to shift the already low house edge in favor of the bettor.
Is this possible?
Frank Scoblete thinks so, but he suggests a lot of hare-brained strategies, so I don't lend him much credence.
But I've also seen Michael Shackleford say that he's seen some pretty impressive demonstrations, and I have a lot of respect for him.
Do I think it's practical to become a controlled dice shooter?
Let's talk about what that would involve in the next section.
What Would It Take to Become a Controlled Shooter?
I've seen being a controlled shooter called different things. Scoblete calls such shooters 'rhythmic rollers.' I've also seen them called 'dice setters.'
The verbs used to describe this approach varies, too. I've seen it called 'controlled shooting' or 'dice setting' more often than anything else.
The idea is to learn how to roll the dice well enough that you can reduce the odds of rolling a 7 by a significant enough margin that you flip the odds from favoring the house to where they favor the bettor. (This assumes that you're betting the pass line, of course.)
The first thing you would need to do to learn how to set dice is to find an instructional video, a book, or a coach. Those aren't hard to find, but I wouldn't spend a lot of money on such a thing.
The next thing you'll need is somewhere to practice. This includes having a realistic craps table with similar dimensions to what you'd find in an actual casino. It also includes having room for that craps table.
Then you need to practice what you've learned from the video, book, or coach on that table.
Finally, you'll need to track your results. This is where the rubber hits the road. To be statistically sure of how well you're affecting the odds, you'll need at least 1000 trials.
And the more trials you record, the more accurate your accounting of your skill at dice throwing will be.
One more thing…
I suspect that dice control might be like other feats of athleticism or skill. Some people just might not have a knack for it. It's possible that some people just might be able to learn how to do it, even if it is possible, and even if they do practice.
95% of poker players lose money in the long run. This means that only 5% get an edge.
My guess is that a similar percentage of dice shooters have the knack for controlling the dice. It might even be a smaller number than that.
Conclusion
Craps is a great game, and I love it. And you can win a fortune playing craps in almost no time at all.
But the idea that you win at craps consistently or 'almost every time you play' is ludicrous.
How To Win At Craps
If the casinos thought you had a way to beat craps, they'd back you off the game – just like they do with card counters.
When's the last time you saw the casino tell a craps player he's too skilled? https://sqlfree.mystrikingly.com/blog/supernova-mobile-casino.
Yeah, me neither.
I do. It doesnt matter if you believe it or not. My pocket is happy. I picked up another 500 last night. how did you do?
Where do you play soo poo?
I play at Seneca Niagara in Niagara Falls USA. I play craps maybe once a year, usually because whoever I'm going with wants to play craps. When I play I play pass line with some odds and lots of come bets with odds, and occasionally bet on 6 and 8. So I will tend to lose but have a decent chance of getting lucky and win. But I do not expect to win when I play craps. When I play my favorite game at Seneca Niagara (they don't have Tiles), there are some times due to weak dealers I have an advantage, like definitely yesterday, but most days I just play against the 1-2% house edge, and hope to win (luck) but will more likely lose.
And you are correct, it doesn't matter whether anyone believes you or not. I am just telling you that no one here believes you have found some magic system that will reliably beat craps. No matter how many times you type it. No matter how many different ways you say it.
Just out of curiosity, your system was working last night so that you made $500. Why weren't you betting double so you could have made $1000?
After making $500, why didn't you just start over and make another $500?
It's like whack a mole in here. One system player leaves, another takes his place
Do moles hibernate or just LIE in dormant for a while?Wack-A-Troll sounds like a fun game.
Ask (google) and ye shall recive
http://www.silvergames.com/whack-a-troll
http://www.roomrecess.com/pages/WhackATroll.html
Math can't be argued with, bartered with, nor bought. Expectation is what it is. Every single bet on the craps table (other than odds) comes with a negative expectation that WILL be reached in the long run. As sure as you can be that a good card counter will realize their expected profits in the long run you can be sure that you will LOSE your expected amount in the long run in craps.
Playing short sessions (hit and run) or changing up how you bet or betting 6 because today is Tuesday all have ZERO EFFECT on the game. Sure, you can have fun with it and FEEL like you win more often by hit and running for a small amount, but the math will come to roost when you go and just lose your entire buy in several sessions in a row which will squash all of your tiny wins and then some. Same principle as the Martingale betting system. It works, until it doesn't.
As I mentioned before. greed kills and pigs get slaughtered. Discipline is key. It is not something that can be explained, but learned over time. I will just tell you that I whole heartedly believe that dice rolls are not random and independent of previous rolls. I know 95% of the board are going to say bs to that. however, if you have played enough, you will know that I am correct. You really just need to know how and when to bet certain ways. and never get too greedy.
if blue jay is out there listening. how many live craps sessions would it take for you to put your money up ? Meaning, If I told you I would consistantly win in real life craps (we will talk winning %'s later), how many actual live craps sessions in a casino would be enough to satisfy your doubt that someone can consistantly win? 10? 20? 50? 100? 200? 1000? 200,000? I would go up to 20x. Any amount after that would take to long.
Im not looking for an investor at all. dont need one. I simply love the challenge.
How did this go?
I think we just all need to meet up sometime and play craps together. Some things just need to be seen live. I will be in Vegas during march madness. I am also in AC and Foxwoods often.
What's your average bet on craps?Average bankroll you are willing to risk during a session?
How did this go?
He would not accept the challenge.
I whole heartedly believe that dice rolls are not random and independent of previous rolls. I know 95% of the board are going to say bs to that.
Really?
They're NOT?
*back to the drawing board*
Hey, thanks for the tip?
Craps Dealer Training
This changes EVERYTHING!
How To Win At Craps Every Time
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